Date of Award
Fall 12-14-2011
Degree Type
Dissertation
Degree Name
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Department
Political Science
First Advisor
Jennifer L. McCoy
Second Advisor
Carrie Manning
Third Advisor
Jelena Subotic
Fourth Advisor
Ryan Carlin
Abstract
This research studies protests after fraudulent elections in a collective action framework, examining the impact of the potential cost, benefit and likelihood of success of protest on the occurrence and intensity of protests. Quantitative analysis of fraudulent elections in about 100 countries from 1990 to 2004 shows that the odds of protest after fraudulent elections are greater when the level of state repression is moderate with a possible backlash effect of high repression, when the opposition is united, and when international monitors denounce election results. The analysis only partially supports the benefit of protest argument. Also, the research uses case studies from Eurasia (Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, and Russia) and mini-case studies from Africa and Latin America to study in more detail the effects of the factors identified in the quantitative analysis and to identify overlooked but important explanatory factors using a set of extensive interviews conducted in the United States and during fieldwork in Armenia, Georgia, and Russia with politicians, domestic and international election monitors, and country experts.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.57709/2378607
Recommended Citation
Manukyan, Alla, "Fraudulent Elections, Political Protests, and Regime Transitions." Dissertation, Georgia State University, 2011.
doi: https://doi.org/10.57709/2378607