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Testing the Effects of US Airstrikes on Insurgent Initiated Violence in Yemen

Allen, Joshua
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Abstract

Are U.S. airstrikes on al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula effective at reducing al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula initiated attacks? Airstrikes have been a popular counterterrorism tool in the Obama and Trump administrations. However, the effectiveness of airstrikes has been contentious. Using ACLED data from 2016-2019 I estimate a series of negative binomial regressions. I first assess the effect of airstrikes generally and find that airstrikes are effective at reducing AQAP attacks. I then disaggregate my airstrike variable to examine the effects of militant casualties, leadership casualties, and civilian casualties independently. I find that civilian casualties and leadership casualties have no effect on AQAP attacks while militant casualties have reduced AQAP attacks.

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Date
2019-05-10
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Publisher
Research Projects
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Keywords
Airstrikes, Violence, Civil War, Terrorism
Citation
Allen, Joshua. "Testing the Effects of US Airstrikes on Insurgent Initiated Violence in Yemen." Thesis, Georgia State University, 2019. https://doi.org/10.57709/14342204
Embargo Lift Date
2019-04-24
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