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Additive and Multiplicative Hazards Modeling for Recurrent Event Data Analysis

Lim, Hyun J.
Zhang, Xu
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Abstract

Background: Sequentially ordered multivariate failure time or recurrent event duration data are commonly observed in biomedical longitudinal studies. In general, standard hazard regression methods cannot be applied because of correlation between recurrent failure times within a subject and induced dependent censoring. Multiplicative and additive hazards models provide the two principal frameworks for studying the association between risk factors and recurrent event durations for the analysis of multivariate failure time data. Methods: Using emergency department visits data, we illustrated and compared the additive and multiplicative hazards models for analysis of recurrent event durations under (i) a varying baseline with a common coefficient effect and (ii) a varying baseline with an order-specific coefficient effect. Results: The analysis showed that both additive and multiplicative hazards models, with varying baseline and common coefficient effects, gave similar results with regard to covariates selected to remain in the model of our real dataset. The confidence intervals of the multiplicative hazards model were wider than the additive hazards model for each of the recurrent events. In addition, in both models, the confidence interval gets wider as the revisit order increased because the risk set decreased as the order of visit increased. Conclusions: Due to the frequency of multiple failure times or recurrent event duration data in clinical and epidemiologic studies, the multiplicative and additive hazards models are widely applicable and present different information. Hence, it seems desirable to use them, not as alternatives to each other, but together as complementary methods, to provide a more comprehensive understanding of data.

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This article was originally published in the journal BMC Medical Research Methodology. It is posted here with the permission of the author. Copyright © 2011 Lim and Zhang; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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Date
2011-01-01
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Research Projects
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Keywords
multivariate failure time, recurrent event durations, additive hazards model, multiplicative hazards model, clinical studies, epidemiologic studies
Citation
Lim and Zhang: Additive and multiplicative hazards modeling for recurrent event data analysis. BMC Medical Research Methodology 2011 11:101. doi: 10.1186/1471-2288-11-101
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