Title

Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological models

Authors

Tom L. Burr, Los Alamos National LaboratoryFollow
Gerardo Chowell, Georgia State UniversityFollow

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2006

Abstract

Recently, confidence intervals (CIs) associated with parameter estimates in the susceptibleinfected-recovered epidemiological model have been developed. When model assumptions are met and the observation error is relatively small, these CIs are relatively short. This work describes the behavior of CIs for parameters as observation and/or equation or model error becomes larger, and includes a comparison of two estimation procedures. One procedure demonstrates significant bias as observation error increases; the other procedure demonstrates significant bias as model error increases.

Comments

Published in:

113. T. L. Burr, G. Chowell. Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological model. Far East. J. Theor. Stat. 19(2), 163-183 (2006).

Posted with the permission of the publisher.

Recommended Citation

T. L. Burr, G. Chowell. Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in the susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological model. Far East. J. Theor. Stat. 19(2), 163-183 (2006).