Anticipatory Resilience Bringing Back the Future into Urban Planning and Knowledge Systems

Tischa A. Muñoz-Erickson, USDA Forest Service
Kaethe Selkirk, Arizona State University
Robert Hobbins, Arizona State University
Clark Miller, Arizona State University
Mathieu Feagan, Arizona State University
David M. Iwaniec, Georgia State University
Thaddeus Miller, University of Massachusetts Amherst
Elizabeth M. Cook, Barnard College

Originally published in:

Muñoz-Erickson T.A. et al. (2021) Anticipatory Resilience Bringing Back the Future into Urban Planning and Knowledge Systems. In: Hamstead Z.A., Iwaniec D.M., McPhearson T., Berbés-Blázquez M., Cook E.M., Muñoz-Erickson T.A. (eds) Resilient Urban Futures. The Urban Book Series. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63131-4_11.

Abstract

Anticipatory thinking is a critical component in urban planning practices and knowledge systems in an era of unpredictability and conflicting expectations of the future. This chapter introduces “anticipatory resilience” as a futures-oriented knowledge system that intentionally addresses uncertain climate conditions and explores alternative, desirable future states. It suggests a portfolio of tools suitable for building long-term foresight capacity in urban planning. Examples of knowledge systems interventions are presented to explore the trade-offs, constraints, possibilities, and desires of diverse future scenarios co-generated in settings with people that hold different perspectives, knowledge, and expectations.